Twitter: @CandyPicks – Insight on daily picks and overall record.
Author’s note: All statistics and information come from oddsshark, ESPN, Sports Reference and ActionNetwork. This is meant for beginners in the sports world so I will be giving insight on the terms used in sports gambling and apply them.
Last week’s Free Pick: UCLA Bruins vs. Arizona State Sun Devils – Thursday, Feb. 6, 10 p.m. ET
CandyMan Pick: UCLA Bruins +6.5 (LOSER)
It’s tough to win when you give up 14 three-pointers compared to their seven. The Sun Devils shot 58% from beyond the arc while the Bruins shot 28%. The game got out of hand early when the Sun Devils went on a terror to finish the first half up by 11. The onslaught continued while they outscored the Bruins by seven in the second half to win by 18. The final score was 66-84 in favor of the Sun Devils.
A handicapper is a person who uses data and analyzes it to predict the outcome of sporting events. It is very easy to be a handicapper. Most of the handicapper’s work from the comfort of their own home and provide their service. Then they can take their knowledge and practice at a professional level. This is what I am aspiring to be.
WHAT’S A PUSH?
A push is when you bet the spread on the game and the scores come out to equal that exact number on the spread. Let’s say the Celtics are -5 and they win 75-70, you the bettor neither lost nor won. This is called a push. The bettor does not lose money; the bettor just gets the stake back with no consequences.
WHAT IS ROI?
This is the return on investment. This is how handicappers check their profit/loss ratio. This is not only used in betting but in everyday investments.
The equation is ((Gain from Investment – Cost of Investment) / Cost of Investment)).
Sharp money is money wagered from a professional that the casino or sportsbook operator respects, and because of this bettor wages heavy money and usually knows more than the average bettor. It usually comes when a large bet is obtained. The public is informed when it happens and could pursue a decision from any bettors who look at the sharp money to gain an edge. Not all large wagers are meant or intended to be sharp money because any one person can bet a large amount but may not have the qualifications to be considered a respected bettor.
Free Pick: Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Penn State Nittany Lions – February 18, 2020, 6:30 p.m. ET
CandyMan Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions -5.5
Penn State is scoring on average 78 points at home and opponents are averaging 64 points at Penn State. Illinois comes into this game only scoring an average of 65 points on the road and giving up an average of 69 to opponents. Illinois is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games and this game will make it 0-8. The Nittany Lions are fighting for a top seed in the Big Ten Tournament and don’t expect the Lions to give up many points. Expect the Nittany Lions to win this game with a statement.